Forbes on the Demise of TheOilDrum.com #rsrh

http://www.forbes.com/sites/davidblackmon/2013/07/16/as-fracking-rises-peak-oil-theory-slowly-dies/

Those of us who are advanced enough in age will remember U.S. President Jimmy Carter, in 1978, telling the public in a televised speech that the world was in fact running out of oil at a rapid pace – a popular Peak Oil theory of the time – and that the US had to wean itself off of the commodity. Since the day of that speech, worldwide oil output has actually increased by more than 30%, and known available reserves are higher than they were at that time.

The main reason why Peak Oil theorists always turn out to be wrong is that they by and large appear to be unable to grasp the huge role advancing technology plays in allowing the industry to discover new oil resources previously unknown, to access known resources that were previously thought to be unexploitable, and to extract an ever-increasing percentage of oil long known to be in place via secondary and tertiary recovery techniques. They appear to believe – either through lack of imagination or due to political convenience – that current assessments of available resources in known formations will always remain static and never increase, never understanding or acknowledging that those assessments will rise along with advances in technology.

And so it should surprise no one that The Oil Drum, a site devoted a theory based on lack of imagination and growing irrelevance among prevailing thought around the oil and gas industry, was unable to sustain a critical mass of interest and will soon be closing its proverbial doors.

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Mary Landrieu: Party Girl

Cross-eyed MaryMary Landrieu is taken to task in this recent op-ed by James Varney of the New Orleans Times-Picayune. Ah, the challenges of being a Blue Senator, the only statewide elected Democrat, in what has become a very Red State. The 2014 elections loom just around the corner. Continue reading

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Great Achievements in Central Planning: The Renewable Fuel Standard

In 2005, Congress, in its infinite wisdom, imposed the Renewable Fuel Standard on America.  The RFS mandates yearly increases in the amount of ethanol that must be used in motor fuel, on an ever-increasing schedule, through 2022.

Problem is, nobody anticipated a crummy economy, high gasoline prices and shrinking consumption of motor fuel. But the RFS marches on.* As depicted in the video above (from our friends** at smarterfuelfuture.org), the numbers are starting to look wacky and detached from reality. Continue reading

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The Devil is beating his wife.

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Baton Rouge, on a good day.

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Sprechen Sie “Green Energy”? ¡No Más!

Photo of wind turbines in Germany: AP Images

Photo of wind turbines in Germany: AP Images

As President Obama doubles down on his green energy initiative, maybe it’s time to look around the world and see how the foray into the future of rainbows and unicorn farts is working out for our more progressive and forward-thinking allies. We’ll visit Spain, Germany and Australia and see how the campaign against fossil fuels, nuclear energy and Climate Change is faring. Continue reading

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On the Cover of the Rolling Stone

Well we are big rock singers, we’ve got golden fingers
And we’re loved everywhere we go
We sing about beauty and we sing about truth
At ten thousand dollars a show
We take all kind of pills to give us all kind of thrills
But the thrill we’ve never known
Is the thrill that’ll get you when you get your picture
On the cover of the Rolling Stone

{Refrain}
Rolling Stone
Wanna see my picture on the cover
Rolling Stone
Wanna buy five copies for my mother
Rolling Stone
Wanna see my smilin’ face
On the cover of the Rolling Stone

I’ve got a freaky old lady name o’ Cocaine Katy
Who embroiders on my jeans
I’ve got my poor old gray-haired Daddy
Drivin’ my limousine
Now it’s all designed to blow our minds
But our minds won’t really be blown
Like the blow that’ll get you when you get your picture
On the cover of the Rolling Stone

{Refrain}

We got a lot of little teenage blue-eyed groupies
Who do anything we say
We got a genuine Indian guru
He’s teachin’ us a better way
We got all the friends that money can buy
So we never have to be alone
And we keep gettin’ richer but we can’t get our picture
On the cover of the Rolling Stone

{Refrain}

Lyrics by Shel Silverstein

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Eagle Ford Shale wells visible from space (photos) #rsrh

http://fuelfix.com/blog/2013/07/05/eagle-ford-shale-wells-visible-from-space/#13828-2

20130706-122813.jpg

NASA said, “A band of lighting visible to the southeast of San Antonio marks well pads associated with the Eagle Ford Formation (also known as the Eagle Ford Shale). This geologic formation is an important producer of both oil and natural gas.”

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Tulsa’s Mayor Pulls Support for Olympic Bid

http://www.nytimes.com/2013/07/04/sports/olympics/tulsa-mayor-no-longer-backs-long-shot-olympic-bid.html?src=recg

The Tulsa mayor, Dewey F. Bartlett Jr., withdrew his support this week of the plan to bring the Summer Games to Oklahoma, acknowledging that the city was not equipped to host an enormous international event like the Olympics.

Bartlett’s decision effectively kills Tulsa’s chance of hosting the Games because the United States Olympic Committee requires local government officials to support a city’s bid.

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R.I.P. The Oil Drum, 2005-2013

It was with some dismay that I read this morning of the impending end of The Oil Drum, perhaps the leading “peak oil” blog …

7-3-2013 1-48-54 PM

… due to scarcity of new content caused by a dwindling number of contributors. Despite our best efforts to fill this gap we have not been able to significantly improve the flow of high quality articles.

Because of this and the high expense of running the site, the board has unanimously decided that the best course of action is to convert the site to a static archive of previously published material as of 31st July 2013. We will continue to post articles up to this date. Afterwards any articles will be held as a public archive into the foreseeable future, so that others can continue to learn from the breadth and depth of knowledge published by our many authors, over the 8+ history of this remarkable volunteer effort.

The Oil Drum is the latest victim of the nation’s ongoing boom in oil and natural gas production. Peak Oil Theory has become, for lack of a better word, unsustainable. They’ve had some very talented, analytical and insightful writers over there; the names of Gail the Actuary, Robert Rapier and Art Berman come to mind.

If I seem to be taking some delight in this development, I’m not. I consider the Oil Drum crowd to be compatriots and seekers of the truth of resource supply. The difference may be one of approach: cup half empty vs cup half full.

While I’ve spent considerable time and effort debunking Peak Oil Theory, I describe myself as something of a “Plateau Oiler”. What classic (King Hubbert-style) Peak Oil Theory neglects is the powerful effect of economics on the search for resources. Our current boom has sustained because we have had oil prices in the range of $100 per barrel for four years. There is almost a limitless resource base to convert to reserves. In my opinion, we can sustain today’s rates from high cost sources like the shale plays and deepwater. I remain skeptical about our ability to sharply increase supply. I’m not a cornucopian, and in that sense I share some common ground with the more reasonable Peak Oilers.

And even at today’s prices, oil is still a miracle fuel and a bargain. Europeans are willing to pay double and more the U.S. price of gasoline & diesel. Sure, they modify their use somewhat, but they are simply making an economic choice about its use.

Really, I take the end of The Oil Drum as something of a contrary indicator: when the last Peak Oil enthusiast throws in the towel, could calamity be just around the corner?

Cross-posted.

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